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Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Economic Review
Commodity prices and P-star
Jeffrey J. Hallman
Edward J. Bryden
Abstract

An illustration of how the P-star indicator of future inflation can be modified to include information about the recent behavior of commodity prices. This approach yields more accurate short-run inflation forecasts while still retaining the property that, over the long run, only money matters.


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Jeffrey J. Hallman & Edward J. Bryden, "Commodity prices and P-star" , Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Economic Review, issue Q I, pages 11-17, 1992.
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