Journal Article

Mirror, mirror, who’s the best forecaster of them all?


Abstract: Say you need an accurate forecast of future GDP or inflation. What?s your best bet?the economist who was hot last year or the forecaster in the middle? The record indicates it?s tough to consistently beat the median prediction.

Keywords: Economic forecasting;

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Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Part of Series: Economic Commentary

Publication Date: 2007

Issue: Mar

Order Number: 2