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Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
Liquidity Premia, Price-Rent Dynamics, and Business Cycles
Jianjun Miao
Pengfei Wang
Tao Zha
Abstract

n the U.S. economy during the past 25 years, house prices exhibit fluctuations considerably larger than house rents, and these large fluctuations tend to move together with business cycles. We build a simple theoretical model to characterize these observations by showing the tight connection between price-rent fluctuation and the liquidity constraint faced by productive firms. After developing economic intuition for this result, we estimate a medium-scale dynamic general equilibrium model to assess the empirical importance of the role the price-rent fluctuation plays in the business cycle. According to our estimation, a shock that drives most of the price-rent fluctuation explains 30 percent of output fluctuation over a six-year horizon.


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Jianjun Miao & Pengfei Wang & Tao Zha, Liquidity Premia, Price-Rent Dynamics, and Business Cycles, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2014-15, 01 Aug 2014.
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Keywords: asset pricing; financial frictions; working capital; cutoff productivity; heterogeneous firms; endogenous TFP; house price; liquidity constraint
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